The confounding factors, such as Republican candidate problems in certain Senate, gubernatorial, and House races the unpopularity of the GOP-controlled Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe vs. These are good conditions for the opposition party in a midterm - the kind of conditions that make this, to us, more of an ordinary midterm (one where the president’s party suffers losses, like the last 4 midterms) than an extraordinary one (when the president’s party does well, like 19). President Biden is unpopular, with his approval stuck in the low 40s. Republicans have polling advantages on some of the key issues of the campaign (such as the economy/inflation problem). ![]() Table 3: Crystal Ball gubernatorial rating changes GovernorĪt the end of a long campaign season, sometimes it helps to just take a step back from the chaos and noise of the day-to-day campaign and focus on the big picture.ĭemocrats control the presidency as well as, narrowly, both chambers of Congress. Table 2: Crystal Ball House rating changes Member/District Table 1: Crystal Ball Senate rating changes Senator ![]() Our projected gubernatorial picture is 29-21 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 1 governorship. Our final House pick is 237-198 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 24 seats. Our final Senate pick is 51-49 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 1 seat.
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